Life! (corona virus, non informative, non hysterical post)

pooh and xtine

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UK
The average person had no idea of all the preventative measures that were done in preparation to Y2K. Software changes, firmware changes, process/procedure changes, equipment mothballed, equipment hard dates rolled back, etc. etc. The only speculation can be what would have happened if nothing was done? We will never know as all companies took action months/years in advance. We had no Y2K deniers/non believers doing nothing that I was aware of.

Now compare to this issue. Where would we be in the current USA curve if actions and preparation was actually done preventatively? Plenty of countries have shown better degrees of what it could have been. Here on this continent we will never know that as the ship has already sailed. Now we are left spending magnitudes upon magnitudes more time, effort, money, pain and loss on damage control and cleanup.

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Masses of work was done on Y2K, but I’ve yet to hear of a validated instance of a system that would have failed if dates hadn’t been changed. And plenty of countries were known to have put Y2K on “ignore”, such as Indonesia and Mexico, yet nothing went wrong, absolutely nothing, anywhere, even systems you could guarantee weren’t looked at in the far flung corners of the world. People like me did very well out of it, though. We were the doom-saying experts and the world lapped it up. All I’m saying is beware experts, they’re not independent.

If you’re a professor of immunology it’s professional suicide to advocate letting everything get back to normal if the infection and death rates subsequently rise. However, if you advise excessive caution you’re taking no risk with your career or future research funding. Similarly, beware doctors: they have an inherent conflict between the Hippocratic Oath and bankrupting the economy.

Take the advice of experts, but with an open mind and common sense.
 

2talltoo

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Jan 21, 2018
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Denver, CO
Checkwrecks, should I fly back east and become another vaccine test subject? I hear that my AB blood type is highly desirable. I should have had that desirable effect in my prime. Ops! I forgot it was safe sex issue back then. No wonder I never gat any STDs.
 

SilverBullet

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Harmaston, TX
Masses of work was done on Y2K, but I’ve yet to hear of a validated instance of a system that would have failed if dates hadn’t been changed. And plenty of countries were known to have put Y2K on “ignore”, such as Indonesia and Mexico, yet nothing went wrong, absolutely nothing, anywhere, even systems you could guarantee weren’t looked at in the far flung corners of the world...
Just because nobody spent time, money and effort to needlessly prove it after the fact doesn't make it true. Idonesia and Mexico aren't exactly overflowing with any high tech industries. Do you think US and foreign automakers in Mexico let the assembly plants there put it on ignore? How about nuclear and other power plants around the world? Were you willing to take that gamble? The whole idea of Y2K prep was to look at everything so no surprises. Of course actions were not critical or even needed for everything but due diligence ensured nothing was overlooked and we were not caught with our pants down.

Not hijacking the thread but many parallels can be made from this to COVID where lack of preparedness and preventive actions literally caught us with our masks down. We knew Y2K was coming the same as we knew a pandemic was coming (again) and will come again still. Just didn't have the luxury of knowing the exact date.

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Checkswrecks

Ungenear to broked stuff
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Checkwrecks, should I fly back east and become another vaccine test subject? I hear that my AB blood type is highly desirable. I should have had that desirable effect in my prime. Ops! I forgot it was safe sex issue back then. No wonder I never gat any STDs.
HA!
Your dog would probably be just as qualified as me.
OX-34 is the doctor, I'm now an accident investigator turned Grandpa/economist/trader/semi-retired old fart.
:p
 

fac191

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Joined
Jun 22, 2016
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2,846
Location
London
Masses of work was done on Y2K, but I’ve yet to hear of a validated instance of a system that would have failed if dates hadn’t been changed. And plenty of countries were known to have put Y2K on “ignore”, such as Indonesia and Mexico, yet nothing went wrong, absolutely nothing, anywhere, even systems you could guarantee weren’t looked at in the far flung corners of the world. People like me did very well out of it, though. We were the doom-saying experts and the world lapped it up. All I’m saying is beware experts, they’re not independent.

If you’re a professor of immunology it’s professional suicide to advocate letting everything get back to normal if the infection and death rates subsequently rise. However, if you advise excessive caution you’re taking no risk with your career or future research funding. Similarly, beware doctors: they have an inherent conflict between the Hippocratic Oath and bankrupting the economy.

Take the advice of experts, but with an open mind and common sense.
Maybe its like that in your country but not
HA!
Your dog would probably be just as qualified as me.
OX-34 is the doctor, I'm now an accident investigator turned Grandpa/economist/trader/semi-retired old fart.
:p
I hope thats not on your business card !
 

magic

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WISCONSIN
Checkwrecks, should I fly back east and become another vaccine test subject? I hear that my AB blood type is highly desirable. I should have had that desirable effect in my prime. Ops! I forgot it was safe sex issue back then. No wonder I never gat any STDs.
Don't fly...ride!
 

Tenman

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Natchez Ms USA
I've been to the only 2 Subways in my small town twice each in the last month or so. Not one single employee had their mask on or was wearing it under their nose. Look in the kitchens and nobody has a mask on. I walked everytime and sent Subway an email.
 

tallpaul

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Whitworth, Rochdale, UK
I've been to the only 2 Subways in my small town twice each in the last month or so. Not one single employee had their mask on or was wearing it under their nose. Look in the kitchens and nobody has a mask on. I walked everytime and sent Subway an email.
This always makes me laugh in disbelief. Why go to the trouble of getting a mask out of the packet if you're not going to wear it correctly?! I saw half a dozen doing that at the supermarket last night. Having it under the nose just renders it pointless, they may as well put it on top of their head! Instead they waste a mask and go outdoors with their false sense of security poorly fitted over their mouth.
 

AusTexS10

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Austin, TX
This always makes me laugh in disbelief. Why go to the trouble of getting a mask out of the packet if you're not going to wear it correctly?! I saw half a dozen doing that at the supermarket last night. Having it under the nose just renders it pointless, they may as well put it on top of their head! Instead they waste a mask and go outdoors with their false sense of security poorly fitted over their mouth.
Several times this ast week I've been in stores where I see customers with the masks looped on their ears, but the "working part" on or under their chins. I usually say to them "That's a face mask, dude, not a chin strap." So far, they just nod and walk on, and occasionally one will pull his mask up where it belongs. None have gotten arrogant about it; makes sense, the arrogant ones don't have any mask on at all.. The biggest grocery chain in the area has signage that employees and customers must wear masks, but they don't enforce it on customers because they're greedy and care more about revenue than any concern for their customers' health.
 

Checkswrecks

Ungenear to broked stuff
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Remember "Just the flu" comments and that COVID is only fatal to the old so no real worries for the rest of society? Found this interesting context for those comments.

 

TNRyder

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Jul 13, 2017
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Ever soggy ☀️ state
I have a question for our biking doctors.

Would it be of any relevance to statistically break out those who died directly from Covid-19 and those who happened to have contracted the virus and the infection was the proverbial “straw that broke the camels back”?

Many doctors and Covid-19 recovered victims have have come out and told their stories and successes with using Hydroxychloroquine. Why is the MSM immediately attacking them as disinformation and dangerous and doctors in California, Michigan, New York are being censored and their testimonials scrubbed from YouTube, Facebook and Twitter? I ask this because as reported by Doctors in Costa Rica, at the onset of Covid-19 they had videoconference calls with Chinese in Wuhan and relayed their successful protocols to Costa Rica.

I have attached the link to the article. It seems to be risky if you have underlying health conditions such as heart and liver disease.



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ballisticexchris

Guest
I have a question for our biking doctors.

Would it be of any relevance to statistically break out those who died directly from Covid-19 and those who happened to have contracted the virus and the infection was the proverbial “straw that broke the camels back”?

Many doctors and Covid-19 recovered victims have have come out and told their stories and successes with using Hydroxychloroquine. Why is the MSM immediately attacking them as disinformation and dangerous and doctors in California, Michigan, New York are being censored and their testimonials scrubbed from YouTube, Facebook and Twitter? I ask this because as reported by Doctors in Costa Rica, at the onset of Covid-19 they had videoconference calls with Chinese in Wuhan and relayed their successful protocols to Costa Rica.

I have attached the link to the article. It seems to be risky if you have underlying health conditions such as heart and liver disease.



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The reason for the censorship is simple politics. Unfortunately freedom of speech has its limitations.
 

Alexander

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Mar 8, 2020
Messages
83
Location
Kansas City
Hydroxychloroquine
My vote: Snake oil.

(1) The US Veterans Health Administration found that Hydroxychloroquine is ineffective against COVID-19 -- it increased mortality rate by around 244%. "In the study of 368 patients, 97 patients who took hydroxychloroquine had a 27.8% death rate. The 158 patients who did not take the drug had an 11.4% death rate." [...] "Eight patients who took the drug developed abnormal heart rhythms and had to stop taking the drug."

(2) Similar results found in the JAMA study. They had to stop the study short over safety concerns after 22 of of the 81 participants died (i.e., the drug was not an overwhelming success).

Naturally, you have the option of trusting our own VA, or trusting the Chinese Communist Party and the funky website you posted -- take your pick. But as your own article stated, "We still cannot be sure because there is no scientific evidence." So, they're recommending this drug based upon a lack of evidence, admittedly. That's cool.

I'm not familiar with this "q-costarica" website, but a whois lookup indicates that it was registered in Scottsdale, Arizona -- which is also where the admin is located. That's 3000 miles from Costa Rica. Sounds legit, let's swallow the drugs they're pushing.
 
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ballisticexchris

Guest
Hydroxychloroquine

My vote is it works. I am living proof of that. I was in malaria infested jungles in the 80's and was given it for prevention. It is 100% proven science that it works. It is not without risks but is one of the safest medications when properly dosed.
 

Cycledude

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Rib lake wi
Steve, I'll have a crack, but its a pretty one-side conversation. You make statements posed as questions and yet don't ever seem to comment on the responses. Like, are you having your questions answered and having information voids filled?

Anyway.

"Would it be of any relevance to statistically break out those who died directly from Covid-19 and those who happened to have contracted the virus and the infection was the proverbial “straw that broke the camels back”?"

Statistics are used to answer a question. If I can be so bold, is your question : how many people with no co-morbidities died from COVID-19 vs how many people with multiple pre-existing conditions?

That is a fair enough question. I don't know. But it is not very hard to guess. Sick people die from just about anything more frequently than well people.

Your premise that COVID-19 was the "straw that broke the camels's back" is one of those couched questions where you are seeking confirmation bias at the get go. Early on someone in here made a claim (their claim, from TX, not mine) that car crash victims - dead ones - who tested positive were being added to the tally. Of course they were. They were necessarily added to the tally of COVID-19 positive, but not to the COVID-19 deaths. For contact tracing if nothing else.

Someone with heart disease, liver disease, lung disease and diabetes who was wandering about buying TP and canned goods who got sick acutely with COVID-19 and spent their last days face down on a ventilator with a half a dozen tubes coming in or out of them... that's who you're asking about? If someone really, truly wanted to know whether that last little wafer, that last little morsel that snuffed out their candle was COVID-19 or not is probably just a little too busy trying to save the life of the next patient being log-rolled off the gurney right now.

Those statistics will just have to wait.

So the relevance to you? Whether you are well and have no co-morbidities or if you are chronically sick and take a hundred tablets a day is already known. My advice is still to stop touching people, wash your hands, wear a mask if your circumstances dictate it and don't become a statistic.

'Hy-DROx-ee, I like to call it. Maybe its a game changer, maybe its not. Could work, can't hurt'. I read someone say something like that recently.

Firstly I'll disregard your questions about Twitter, Facebook, YouTube and the like. This is a motorbike forum, how can anyone here answer that question? Call Zuckerberg.

But discussion of hydroxychloroquine is a great thing to discuss. Its a shame that it has been spruiked by a bleach guzzling, lightbulb swallower because that has clouded the issue.

The medical and pharmaceutical fraternity welcome new medications or new uses for old medications, but unlike saying 'try it, it can't hurt', they are required to make some efforts to make sure that it doesn't hurt. Sound fair?

Now, full confession, as a doctor I prescribe medications. Go get any drug packet from your bathroom cabinet - I'll wait. Read the back and you may freak out at all of the problems and 'hurt' it may cause. But on balance and with or without alternatives those drugs still get used and generally work and generally don't 'hurt' too much.

Just because someone takes a tablet and doesn't get 'hurt' doesn't mean it's good idea to take it. To say a drug is efficacious and has a tolerable adverse reaction profile takes a lot of case-controlled research, a lot of test subjects, a lot of people and usually a lot of time. The highest standard is called Level 1 evidence. It is very heartening that some learned medicos, patients and Costa Rica are saying that it helps. Helps them or helps their patients. Great. That is anecdotal or expert best-guess Level 4,5,6,or 7 evidence depending on the evidence pyramid you use.

So until the weight of numbers clearly show a benefit then the medical authorities (government and policy maker level) they are held by law to NOT say 'give it a try, might work, might not, can't hurt'. The 'research' process is happening in many places around the world in many smaller trials to help find the answer.

I do understand that time is of the essence with COVID-19.

Talk to your doctor, try to inform yourself as much as possible and seek original medical papers rather than Twits/YouTube ranters. Oh, and stop touching people avoid coughing and coughers, keep away from snot and wash your hands lots. Masks or no masks, follow the advice of your local health authorities.
Your answer seems kind of short.
 
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